Anticipated Bank of Canada Rate Cuts Set to Propel Canadian Housing Market in 2024


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The latest housing market report predicts a significant increase in Canadian home prices in 2024, citing anticipated Bank of Canada rate cuts as a key factor rejuvenating the housing sector. The report forecasts gradual price hikes in the first half of the year, followed by more substantial increases in the latter part, driven by expected reductions in interest rates. According to industry experts, the general consensus among Canadians is acknowledging the conclusion of the era of ultra-low interest rates, prompting an adjustment to borrowing costs following moderate rate cuts from the Bank of Canada.

The projections for home prices indicate a pattern of incremental gains, with an estimated 3.3% rise in aggregate home prices in the first quarter of 2024 and a subsequent 0.2% year-over-year increase in the second quarter. By the fourth quarter, the forecast suggests a more robust growth of 5.5% year-over-year, leading to a median home price of $843,684, essentially reaching pre-pandemic highs. Notably, single-family home prices are expected to escalate by six percent, reaching $879,164, while condominium prices are forecasted to increase by five percent to $616,140 during the same period.

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